Duluth-Superior, Minnesota: Populist market. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 426,1522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Duluth-Superior, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 128,385 | 119,538 | 253,033 | ||
| D | 131,157 | 115,102 | 251,491 | ||
| D | 110,780 | 101,739 | 231,005 | ||
| D | 143,729 | 86,694 | 235,873 | ||
| D | 151,210 | 85,265 | 241,666 | ||
| D | 151,292 | 91,541 | 245,818 | ||
| D | 122,488 | 80,695 | 217,989 | ||
| D | 115,136 | 56,779 | 200,793 | ||
| D | 116,819 | 55,963 | 220,079 | ||
| D | 131,713 | 71,370 | 204,920 | ||
| D | 141,670 | 78,676 | 222,144 | ||
| D | 129,412 | 77,074 | 228,214 | ||
| D | 140,949 | 73,269 | 220,751 | ||
| D | 110,638 | 87,118 | 201,069 | ||
| D | 130,328 | 56,501 | 195,214 | ||
| D | 150,238 | 50,722 | 201,550 | ||
| D | 129,871 | 81,202 | 211,953 | ||
| D | 112,385 | 84,386 | 197,646 | ||
| D | 114,961 | 83,408 | 200,261 | ||
| D | 118,417 | 59,349 | 188,197 | ||
| D | 118,971 | 59,124 | 179,765 | ||
| D | 134,922 | 69,504 | 207,401 | ||
| D | 135,540 | 47,275 | 186,752 | ||
| D | 82,433 | 65,154 | 162,102 | ||
| R | 51,636 | 86,653 | 143,310 | ||
| R | 5,685 | 65,404 | 126,295 | ||
| R | 24,574 | 60,695 | 98,014 | ||
| D | 24,527 | 23,844 | 55,285 | ||
| O | 12,001 | 8,828 | 45,650 | ||
| R | 11,371 | 29,041 | 45,591 | ||
| R | 5,802 | 29,239 | 38,186 | ||
| R | 11,603 | 25,579 | 38,443 | ||
| R | 15,824 | 25,521 | 42,062 | ||
| D | 14,840 | 14,260 | 32,090 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.5%
Irish
9.5%
English
7.5%
Polish
5.5%
Italian
4.1%
American
3.3%
French
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,055
Duluth-Superior ranks near the middle of US counties.
Duluth-Superior$70,055
Minnesota$77,485
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.5%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.5%
Working age (18–64)12.4%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.0%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Duluth-Superior market straddles two states and blends historic union-labor Democratic strength in Minnesota's Iron Range with more volatile suburban and Wisconsin exurban precincts that have trended competitive in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Duluth-Superior peaked at forty-nine points in 1964. By 1932 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was three points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,055 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/676/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Democratic by 3.5 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 253,033 votes cast, 128,385 went Democratic and 119,538 went Republican.
What is Duluth-Superior, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Duluth-Superior, Minnesota as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota has a population of 426,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota is $70,055 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.