Charlottesville, Virginia: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+17%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 261,4692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $94,6752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 86,416 | 60,458 | 149,722 | ||
| D | 85,432 | 56,645 | 144,884 | ||
| D | 68,090 | 50,129 | 126,638 | ||
| D | 64,959 | 53,501 | 120,444 | ||
| D | 64,762 | 48,318 | 114,460 | ||
| R | 47,022 | 47,694 | 95,772 | ||
| R | 35,192 | 39,593 | 79,698 | ||
| R | 31,445 | 31,858 | 68,350 | ||
| D | 31,106 | 30,108 | 70,631 | ||
| R | 24,514 | 32,435 | 57,729 | ||
| R | 20,978 | 33,071 | 54,324 | ||
| R | 20,279 | 24,978 | 49,818 | ||
| R | 20,241 | 22,407 | 43,790 | ||
| R | 8,637 | 18,635 | 27,788 | ||
| R | 8,267 | 14,797 | 29,570 | ||
| R | 9,075 | 9,274 | 18,371 | ||
| R | 7,668 | 10,533 | 18,438 | ||
| R | 5,185 | 9,721 | 16,626 | ||
| R | 6,041 | 9,613 | 15,714 | ||
| D | 4,697 | 4,530 | 10,416 | ||
| D | 6,587 | 4,208 | 10,826 | ||
| D | 6,324 | 3,180 | 9,540 | ||
| D | 6,176 | 2,572 | 8,783 | ||
| D | 6,311 | 2,182 | 8,562 | ||
| D | 4,695 | 3,808 | 8,503 | ||
| D | 4,374 | 1,488 | 6,153 | ||
| D | 4,713 | 2,141 | 6,894 | ||
| D | 3,908 | 1,161 | 5,084 | ||
| D | 3,337 | 674 | 4,471 | ||
| D | 3,183 | 1,466 | 4,695 | ||
| D | 3,174 | 1,319 | 4,527 | ||
| D | 6,529 | 4,765 | 11,359 | ||
| D | 7,294 | 5,259 | 12,693 | ||
| D | 7,651 | 4,345 | 12,399 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Charlottesville's media market centers on a flagship research university community, producing voter composition that skews younger and more credentialed than surrounding Piedmont counties, which frequently pull aggregate results in competing directions.
The Democratic margin in Charlottesville has rarely exceeded sixty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by seventeen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 75% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $94,675 — all within the broad national range.
Charlottesville, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/584/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.