Joplin-Pittsburg, Kansas: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+50%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 402,0692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,1402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42,112 | 130,617 | 175,667 | ||
| R | 43,191 | 129,319 | 176,037 | ||
| R | 36,609 | 117,862 | 163,737 | ||
| R | 48,459 | 105,322 | 157,326 | ||
| R | 58,956 | 106,248 | 167,888 | ||
| R | 54,556 | 109,743 | 165,741 | ||
| R | 53,519 | 89,653 | 147,709 | ||
| R | 54,532 | 69,301 | 141,988 | ||
| R | 56,464 | 62,338 | 152,440 | ||
| R | 57,927 | 77,856 | 136,677 | ||
| R | 48,692 | 97,164 | 146,564 | ||
| R | 56,769 | 86,431 | 149,905 | ||
| D | 72,004 | 69,089 | 142,686 | ||
| R | 41,957 | 95,766 | 139,212 | ||
| R | 51,966 | 71,981 | 138,964 | ||
| D | 84,466 | 63,259 | 148,148 | ||
| R | 65,224 | 95,078 | 160,654 | ||
| R | 62,766 | 93,599 | 156,662 | ||
| R | 65,029 | 104,684 | 170,291 | ||
| D | 73,715 | 73,090 | 148,326 | ||
| R | 64,334 | 85,142 | 149,967 | ||
| R | 86,784 | 97,361 | 185,025 | ||
| D | 98,644 | 81,700 | 181,213 | ||
| D | 94,940 | 62,202 | 160,114 | ||
| R | 45,553 | 105,469 | 152,627 | ||
| R | 47,032 | 75,927 | 141,603 | ||
| R | 55,092 | 79,662 | 140,226 | ||
| D | 63,284 | 52,279 | 125,045 | ||
| D | 33,329 | 23,385 | 85,024 | ||
| R | 40,383 | 43,311 | 90,848 | ||
| R | 26,963 | 44,448 | 80,802 | ||
| D | 44,187 | 40,952 | 87,101 | ||
| D | 43,694 | 32,362 | 76,845 | ||
| R | 13,056 | 31,399 | 67,788 | ||
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Demographics
Straddling the Missouri-Kansas border, this market blends working-class mining-heritage communities with small agricultural towns, producing some of the most reliably wide Republican margins in either state's non-metro returns.
The Democratic margin in Joplin-Pittsburg peaked at twenty points in 1932. By 1980 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,140 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Joplin-Pittsburg, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/603/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.