Juneau, Alaska: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+25%. Democratic peak: D+42 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 31,7942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $101,6612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22 in 1976MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 10,415 | 6,016 | 17,281 | ||
| D | 10,788 | 6,284 | 17,721 | ||
| D | 8,974 | 5,801 | 16,862 | ||
| D | 9,255 | 6,112 | 16,120 | ||
| D | 9,818 | 7,131 | 17,503 | ||
| D | 7,871 | 7,074 | 15,481 | ||
| R | 6,408 | 7,262 | 16,048 | ||
| D | 6,761 | 6,007 | 15,278 | ||
| D | 6,752 | 5,341 | 15,280 | ||
| D | 6,057 | 5,963 | 12,385 | ||
| R | 5,293 | 7,322 | 12,939 | ||
| R | 3,600 | 4,607 | 10,278 | ||
| R | 2,890 | 4,674 | 7,955 | ||
| R | 2,725 | 3,681 | 6,570 | ||
| D | 2,767 | 2,532 | 5,664 | ||
| D | 3,762 | 1,545 | 5,307 | ||
| R | 2,105 | 2,330 | 4,435 | ||
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Demographics
Juneau anchors a media market where road-inaccessible communities rely on broadcast and marine radio, and state-government employment concentrates a politically attentive audience unusual for a city its size.
The Democratic margin in Juneau has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-two points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by twenty-five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,661 — all within the broad national range.
Juneau, Alaska — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/747/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.