akashic
1876–2024
Columbia-Jefferson City·Missouri

Columbia-Jefferson City peaked at D+40; 2024 delivered R+27.

Missouri's capital corridor anchors a mid-state swing zone

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+27
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
488,616
2024 ACS

Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+27MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
488,6162024 5-year
Median household income
$69,1352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.8%2024 5-year
Black
6.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
14 counties · 1 D · 13 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−27.2%
85,302150,540239,995
R
−25.0%
86,724146,377238,839
R
−27.6%
73,649135,170222,753
R
−21.4%
81,573127,318213,980
R
−11.2%
98,905124,254226,649
R
−20.4%
83,431126,460211,318
R
−12.5%
76,75799,362180,956
R
−1.0%
71,85973,559163,792
D
+2.6%
72,27767,550179,174
R
−11.8%
68,24086,549155,192
R
−29.4%
56,239103,135159,374
R
−11.5%
63,52681,037151,618
R
−3.4%
65,10169,719136,297
R
−32.5%
44,42187,196131,617
R
−11.8%
48,22262,689122,456
D
+18.0%
70,65649,137119,793
D
+0.8%
63,19862,244125,442
D
+1.9%
60,82158,495119,316
D
+0.5%
61,71461,089122,984
D
+23.4%
66,46641,191107,959
D
+10.3%
61,29649,789111,281
D
+14.5%
74,37455,551130,168
D
+26.3%
78,52245,753124,780
D
+39.9%
80,84034,531116,044
D
+4.6%
57,46152,416110,069
D
+14.4%
59,69844,169107,959
D
+5.6%
57,61651,486109,857
D
+18.2%
38,71726,68266,084
D
+26.4%
35,16919,13860,774
D
+17.1%
37,09126,14864,034
D
+14.7%
33,78624,94260,042
D
+21.4%
37,87524,28763,370
D
+24.7%
40,90924,60065,974
D
+21.7%
32,83020,57156,554
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.5%
English
13.1%
Irish
10.9%
American
7.7%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.1%
75–84
2.8%
4.8%
65–74
5.3%
6.2%
55–64
6.3%
5.7%
45–54
5.4%
6.4%
35–44
6.0%
6.6%
25–34
6.5%
6.1%
18–24
6.4%
8.2%
5–17
7.6%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,135
Columbia-Jefferson City ranks near the middle of US counties.
Columbia-Jefferson City$69,135
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.1%
Working age (18–64)13.7%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.3%
speak English only
Spanish1.9%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.5%
Other Christian
8.8%
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Methodist
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Columbia-Jefferson City market pairs a major university town with the state capital, producing an unusually wide ideological range for a market its size — college precincts and government-worker suburbs pull in opposite directions.

The Democratic margin in Columbia-Jefferson City peaked at forty points in 1932. By 1996 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,135 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri voted Republican by 27.2 points (R+27), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 239,995 votes cast, 85,302 went Democratic and 150,540 went Republican.
What is Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri has a population of 488,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Median household income in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri is $69,135 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Columbia-Jefferson City, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.