Sioux City, Iowa: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+45%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 418,2002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,4382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 52,044 | 141,399 | 196,633 | ||
| R | 59,142 | 140,017 | 203,037 | ||
| R | 50,266 | 129,622 | 192,327 | ||
| R | 70,379 | 116,144 | 189,992 | ||
| R | 76,085 | 109,622 | 188,463 | ||
| R | 70,875 | 118,193 | 190,783 | ||
| R | 63,337 | 100,685 | 169,996 | ||
| R | 64,199 | 82,702 | 166,080 | ||
| R | 59,837 | 83,917 | 182,881 | ||
| R | 75,320 | 92,427 | 168,927 | ||
| R | 66,271 | 112,322 | 180,086 | ||
| R | 56,444 | 113,387 | 184,810 | ||
| R | 75,440 | 101,296 | 180,001 | ||
| R | 61,980 | 112,019 | 176,090 | ||
| R | 59,672 | 104,737 | 173,740 | ||
| D | 101,675 | 82,490 | 184,375 | ||
| R | 78,191 | 123,086 | 201,323 | ||
| R | 74,786 | 120,889 | 195,915 | ||
| R | 62,215 | 139,261 | 202,033 | ||
| D | 84,912 | 80,527 | 167,525 | ||
| R | 76,680 | 93,515 | 170,641 | ||
| R | 93,625 | 111,359 | 205,362 | ||
| D | 114,961 | 73,007 | 195,524 | ||
| D | 118,824 | 59,253 | 180,840 | ||
| R | 68,327 | 97,912 | 167,070 | ||
| R | 26,458 | 77,040 | 157,057 | ||
| R | 35,486 | 99,073 | 137,395 | ||
| D | 41,444 | 40,540 | 83,545 | ||
| O | 28,696 | 16,666 | 78,471 | ||
| R | 32,279 | 43,299 | 77,583 | ||
| R | 19,683 | 48,944 | 72,890 | ||
| R | 31,704 | 46,353 | 79,931 | ||
| R | 34,421 | 40,145 | 75,854 | ||
| R | 23,568 | 25,176 | 59,658 | ||
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Demographics
The Sioux City designated market area stretches across Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Minnesota, concentrating ad buys for campaigns targeting rural and small-city voters across a patchwork of closely contested congressional districts.
The Democratic margin in Sioux City peaked at thirty-three points in 1932. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,438 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Sioux City, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/624/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.