akashic
1876–2024
Austin·Texas

Austin delivered D+14 in 2024 — Democratic for the long memory.

A tech-driven boomtown reshaping Central Texas's electoral map

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
2,588,606
2024 ACS

Austin, Texas: Democratic loyalist market. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
2,588,6062024 5-year
Median household income
$99,0392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.0%2024 5-year
Black
6.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+81 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+21 in 1984MIT Election Lab
12 counties · 2 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.1%
653,331488,5611,166,083
D
+20.7%
679,384442,5131,145,887
D
+13.2%
454,340341,220854,725
D
+1.5%
347,953337,448708,083
D
+8.8%
383,690320,625715,746
R
−5.2%
290,244322,474623,166
R
−18.2%
187,063280,135511,518
D
+1.9%
190,643183,035406,929
D
+7.5%
184,749152,133432,748
D
+2.4%
187,372178,548369,367
R
−21.4%
130,165201,175332,401
R
−3.8%
111,926121,292248,211
D
+6.5%
117,921103,307224,460
R
−19.5%
71,579106,395178,877
D
+7.6%
62,49652,423131,720
D
+41.1%
76,98832,069109,165
D
+14.4%
50,89638,06389,249
R
−5.4%
38,57643,00981,812
R
−3.8%
40,35243,56484,002
D
+45.3%
43,20215,18761,834
D
+43.9%
35,88411,85854,723
D
+47.0%
41,42114,88556,427
D
+72.0%
34,1845,43739,945
D
+80.7%
41,3694,34645,895
D
+11.9%
19,30215,18934,530
D
+53.0%
29,8057,47242,117
D
+25.6%
14,5926,78630,438
D
+40.9%
15,4506,33422,275
D
+56.8%
12,7632,25218,518
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
English
10.9%
Irish
8.4%
American
3.6%
Italian
3.0%
Scottish
2.4%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.4%
speak English only
Spanish19.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.4%
Other Christian
9.3%
Baptist
6.6%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Methodist
2.4%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rapid in-migration from coastal metros has accelerated demographic change across the Austin DMA, compressing margins in once-reliable suburban territory and making the market one of the most closely watched bellwethers in statewide Texas races.

The Democratic margin in Austin reached its widest at eighty-one points in 1932. The margin in 2024 was fourteen points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $99,039, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 2,588,606 together describe a market whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Austin, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/635/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Austin, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Austin, Texas voted Democratic by 14.1 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,166,083 votes cast, 653,331 went Democratic and 488,561 went Republican.
What is Austin, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Austin, Texas as a "Democratic loyalist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 7 times, and other 0 times.
When did Austin, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Austin, Texas voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Austin, Texas?
Austin, Texas has a population of 2,588,606 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Austin, Texas?
Median household income in Austin, Texas is $99,039 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Austin, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Austin, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.