akashic
1876–2024
Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA·Texas

Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA peaked at D+76; 2024 delivered R+4.

Where the Rio Grande Valley shapes one of the nation's most Latino media markets

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
1,404,303
2024 ACS

Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
1,404,3032024 5-year
Median household income
$53,0232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
30.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
91.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+76 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+21 in 1952MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.4%
168,310184,094355,568
D
+15.1%
204,493150,247358,325
D
+38.4%
190,92281,885283,908
D
+39.8%
161,80468,927233,164
D
+36.7%
150,42469,287221,136
D
+8.0%
106,30090,493197,582
D
+19.5%
104,32769,801176,633
D
+36.6%
101,32744,959153,891
D
+25.8%
91,66749,798161,988
D
+25.5%
95,42556,477152,573
D
+6.8%
78,62568,602147,662
D
+12.0%
65,57151,233119,363
D
+28.2%
67,96137,853106,586
R
−14.1%
36,41048,44285,242
D
+17.0%
41,66528,83175,643
D
+31.6%
44,37423,00267,545
D
+18.7%
37,23925,46562,866
R
−9.5%
22,62127,42550,571
R
−20.6%
21,18932,18553,453
D
+24.0%
19,43911,76431,989
D
+19.1%
15,40610,21127,212
D
+27.8%
15,8798,96524,906
D
+45.5%
15,9605,81822,276
D
+57.0%
18,6375,04523,857
D
+0.4%
8,3688,29716,692
D
+46.7%
6,9502,3959,752
D
+28.2%
3,8002,1155,974
D
+59.3%
3,2508054,124
D
+75.8%
4,1254454,854
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
2.2%
German
1.8%
English
1.4%
Irish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 31.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
1.8%
75–84
2.2%
3.2%
65–74
3.9%
4.2%
55–64
4.8%
5.6%
45–54
5.9%
6.1%
35–44
6.0%
6.9%
25–34
6.6%
5.7%
18–24
5.4%
11.5%
5–17
11.1%
3.9%
<5
3.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$53,023
Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA$53,023
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
26.4%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1836.2%
Working age (18–64)21.8%
Seniors (65+)25.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
22.1%
speak English only
Spanish76.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
44.6%
Other Christian
10.2%
Baptist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 40.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

This South Texas media market is among the most heavily Hispanic in the United States, with Democratic margins historically wide but showing measurable rightward shifts in recent cycles as working-class border communities reassess party allegiances.

The Democratic margin in Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA peaked at seventy-six points in 1912. By 2024 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $53,023 sits well below state and national norms, and 26% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/636/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 355,568 votes cast, 168,310 went Democratic and 184,094 went Republican.
What is Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas?
Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas has a population of 1,404,303 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas?
Median household income in Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas is $53,023 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harlingen-Wslco-Brnsvl-McA, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.