Cedar Rapids-Wtrlo-IWC&Dub, Iowa: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+47 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 919,7322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,9742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 237,369 | 245,767 | 491,876 | ||
| D | 253,679 | 236,524 | 500,614 | ||
| D | 221,010 | 211,332 | 470,966 | ||
| D | 268,689 | 195,287 | 472,511 | ||
| D | 270,992 | 178,068 | 456,096 | ||
| D | 239,686 | 201,310 | 444,849 | ||
| D | 198,981 | 168,641 | 381,687 | ||
| D | 189,917 | 129,922 | 352,191 | ||
| D | 174,159 | 132,696 | 388,793 | ||
| D | 195,204 | 148,376 | 346,332 | ||
| R | 175,303 | 193,284 | 371,848 | ||
| R | 149,101 | 178,398 | 370,342 | ||
| R | 172,301 | 177,160 | 358,262 | ||
| R | 145,105 | 184,844 | 336,152 | ||
| R | 133,173 | 163,629 | 313,709 | ||
| D | 194,296 | 117,474 | 312,150 | ||
| R | 147,682 | 180,401 | 328,302 | ||
| R | 121,130 | 186,587 | 308,747 | ||
| R | 111,392 | 200,048 | 313,233 | ||
| D | 129,725 | 126,692 | 261,438 | ||
| R | 119,198 | 137,485 | 257,862 | ||
| R | 130,739 | 158,665 | 290,278 | ||
| D | 147,817 | 117,167 | 274,470 | ||
| D | 151,893 | 104,194 | 260,444 | ||
| R | 102,502 | 150,747 | 254,306 | ||
| R | 44,915 | 126,783 | 237,338 | ||
| R | 54,270 | 157,018 | 216,583 | ||
| R | 51,512 | 71,306 | 125,281 | ||
| D | 52,356 | 29,248 | 120,422 | ||
| R | 52,495 | 62,225 | 118,275 | ||
| R | 43,314 | 69,828 | 118,162 | ||
| R | 53,010 | 70,144 | 125,653 | ||
| R | 53,665 | 67,990 | 123,979 | ||
| D | 55,326 | 52,144 | 110,333 | ||
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Demographics
Cedar Rapids and Waterloo-Dubuque span a corridor where mid-size manufacturing cities meet agricultural hinterlands, producing a market that has swung within single digits in recent presidential cycles and rewards ground-level retail politics.
The Democratic margin in Cedar Rapids-Wtrlo-IWC&Dub peaked at twenty-five points in 1964. By 2024 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $74,974 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cedar Rapids-Wtrlo-IWC&Dub, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/637/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.