akashic
1876–2024
Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur·Illinois

Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

College town anchors a media market stretching to the state capital

18762024·38 elections
IL
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
932,060
2024 ACS

Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+29 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
932,0602024 5-year
Median household income
$67,5642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.5%2024 5-year
Black
9.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1920MIT Election Lab
20 counties · 1 D · 19 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.7%
173,032254,394436,123
R
−17.5%
184,537265,381461,405
R
−18.7%
162,272244,324437,834
R
−13.8%
174,032231,169414,882
R
−1.0%
213,615217,839439,033
R
−17.1%
178,397252,532434,641
R
−10.2%
176,670218,149408,478
D
+1.2%
176,086171,387387,086
D
+6.0%
192,303165,656443,213
R
−10.2%
176,734217,369396,508
R
−23.1%
160,922258,080420,839
R
−23.9%
142,340241,970417,121
R
−6.4%
190,415216,869413,442
R
−27.1%
145,696254,958402,451
R
−12.9%
150,222200,448387,901
D
+13.6%
225,856171,722397,594
R
−13.2%
176,706230,634408,245
R
−22.4%
150,827237,761388,959
R
−18.8%
157,629230,622388,728
R
−8.1%
150,122176,756329,811
R
−8.7%
157,540187,623346,764
R
−2.5%
196,854207,156406,260
D
+11.1%
209,411167,009383,406
D
+16.7%
202,686143,681352,323
R
−27.1%
113,068197,842313,013
R
−24.5%
85,901155,011282,333
R
−29.4%
85,555162,117260,676
R
−5.5%
131,733147,609291,010
D
+16.0%
61,90937,976149,633
R
−8.8%
68,51182,469158,624
R
−19.4%
54,40483,337148,839
R
−4.7%
73,49380,915158,408
R
−4.6%
71,75078,831153,216
D
+2.5%
63,91560,637133,367
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.1%
English
11.8%
Irish
10.7%
American
5.8%
Italian
2.8%
Polish
1.6%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.0%
speak English only
Spanish3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.2%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
Methodist
4.7%
Baptist
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.3%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The market pairs the University of Illinois's student and faculty population in Champaign-Urbana with the government-worker concentration around Springfield, producing two distinct voter pools that rarely move in lockstep.

The Democratic margin in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur peaked at seventeen points in 1932. By 2000 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,564 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/648/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 436,123 votes cast, 173,032 went Democratic and 254,394 went Republican.
What is Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.
When did Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois?
Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois has a population of 932,060 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois?
Median household income in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois is $67,564 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.