Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+29 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 932,0602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,5642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 173,032 | 254,394 | 436,123 | ||
| R | 184,537 | 265,381 | 461,405 | ||
| R | 162,272 | 244,324 | 437,834 | ||
| R | 174,032 | 231,169 | 414,882 | ||
| R | 213,615 | 217,839 | 439,033 | ||
| R | 178,397 | 252,532 | 434,641 | ||
| R | 176,670 | 218,149 | 408,478 | ||
| D | 176,086 | 171,387 | 387,086 | ||
| D | 192,303 | 165,656 | 443,213 | ||
| R | 176,734 | 217,369 | 396,508 | ||
| R | 160,922 | 258,080 | 420,839 | ||
| R | 142,340 | 241,970 | 417,121 | ||
| R | 190,415 | 216,869 | 413,442 | ||
| R | 145,696 | 254,958 | 402,451 | ||
| R | 150,222 | 200,448 | 387,901 | ||
| D | 225,856 | 171,722 | 397,594 | ||
| R | 176,706 | 230,634 | 408,245 | ||
| R | 150,827 | 237,761 | 388,959 | ||
| R | 157,629 | 230,622 | 388,728 | ||
| R | 150,122 | 176,756 | 329,811 | ||
| R | 157,540 | 187,623 | 346,764 | ||
| R | 196,854 | 207,156 | 406,260 | ||
| D | 209,411 | 167,009 | 383,406 | ||
| D | 202,686 | 143,681 | 352,323 | ||
| R | 113,068 | 197,842 | 313,013 | ||
| R | 85,901 | 155,011 | 282,333 | ||
| R | 85,555 | 162,117 | 260,676 | ||
| R | 131,733 | 147,609 | 291,010 | ||
| D | 61,909 | 37,976 | 149,633 | ||
| R | 68,511 | 82,469 | 158,624 | ||
| R | 54,404 | 83,337 | 148,839 | ||
| R | 73,493 | 80,915 | 158,408 | ||
| R | 71,750 | 78,831 | 153,216 | ||
| D | 63,915 | 60,637 | 133,367 | ||
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Demographics
The market pairs the University of Illinois's student and faculty population in Champaign-Urbana with the government-worker concentration around Springfield, producing two distinct voter pools that rarely move in lockstep.
The Democratic margin in Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur peaked at seventeen points in 1932. By 2000 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,564 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Champaign&Sprngfld-Decatur, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/648/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.