akashic
1876–2024
Memphis·Mississippi

Memphis delivered R+4 in 2024 — Republican for the long memory.

Majority-Black metro where turnout margins routinely decide statewide races

18762024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
1,798,678
2024 ACS

Memphis, Mississippi: Republican loyalist market. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
1,798,6782024 5-year
Median household income
$63,2692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
46.7%2024 5-year
Black
42.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
28 counties · 9 D · 19 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.8%
319,766345,345677,934
D
+3.4%
379,441353,857745,947
D
+2.4%
333,094317,155670,349
D
+6.5%
379,221332,506719,258
D
+8.0%
408,216347,271762,030
D
+3.9%
357,760330,674693,227
D
+6.6%
316,381276,659601,407
D
+12.9%
308,720234,995573,570
D
+10.9%
330,752261,314635,730
R
−4.4%
256,936280,793541,755
R
−4.9%
273,278301,867579,000
D
+8.2%
288,986244,220548,565
D
+16.0%
287,833207,503501,398
R
−37.3%
130,868291,851431,654
O
+6.7%
141,176112,424428,129
D
+0.6%
180,828178,628359,597
D
+5.6%
145,678129,517290,576
D
+12.7%
132,257100,892246,774
D
+17.2%
150,885106,596257,872
D
+26.7%
63,58724,472146,579
D
+61.5%
109,52426,056135,749
D
+71.9%
132,19221,486153,987
D
+83.1%
123,30211,237134,899
D
+73.3%
100,60015,082116,698
D
+37.7%
65,63729,62995,432
D
+44.9%
53,10819,28675,378
D
+31.7%
56,41329,00686,357
D
+51.4%
44,93014,24859,651
D
+49.8%
29,2346,71645,229
D
+30.7%
26,71513,96241,594
D
+40.0%
30,48512,85544,068
D
+39.0%
35,48015,41951,423
D
+37.6%
40,42418,07859,445
D
+37.6%
32,21913,06550,983
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
8.5%
American
6.8%
Irish
6.5%
German
5.2%
Italian
1.7%
Scottish
1.2%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.3%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
28.7%
Other Christian
14.9%
Methodist
6.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Memphis media market anchors Tennessee's western tip and pulls in corners of Arkansas and Mississippi, making it a rare cross-state audience zone where urban Democratic concentration meets competitive suburban counties just across the state line.

The Republican margin in Memphis reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was four points, in line with the market's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $63,269, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 1,798,678 together describe a market whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Memphis, Mississippi — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/640/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Memphis, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Memphis, Mississippi voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 677,934 votes cast, 319,766 went Democratic and 345,345 went Republican.
What is Memphis, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Memphis, Mississippi as a "Republican loyalist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 4 times, and other 1 times.
When did Memphis, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Memphis, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Memphis, Mississippi?
Memphis, Mississippi has a population of 1,798,678 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Memphis, Mississippi?
Median household income in Memphis, Mississippi is $63,269 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Memphis, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Memphis, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.