Nashville, Tennessee: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,150,5082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,4962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Nashville, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 485,893 | 871,644 | 1,380,712 | ||
| R | 514,605 | 806,588 | 1,349,721 | ||
| R | 372,377 | 647,586 | 1,073,610 | ||
| R | 395,642 | 606,987 | 1,019,190 | ||
| R | 448,989 | 605,372 | 1,069,077 | ||
| R | 419,420 | 557,288 | 983,177 | ||
| D | 404,558 | 399,719 | 817,611 | ||
| D | 362,391 | 312,691 | 726,314 | ||
| D | 366,799 | 278,232 | 731,239 | ||
| R | 259,005 | 328,587 | 590,772 | ||
| R | 267,137 | 331,938 | 603,355 | ||
| D | 318,384 | 234,623 | 568,791 | ||
| D | 325,914 | 176,729 | 508,123 | ||
| R | 139,159 | 245,280 | 395,209 | ||
| O | 128,655 | 132,661 | 433,137 | ||
| D | 262,078 | 129,684 | 391,906 | ||
| D | 201,168 | 158,359 | 362,379 | ||
| D | 206,237 | 123,526 | 332,506 | ||
| D | 195,052 | 124,486 | 320,466 | ||
| D | 127,634 | 56,011 | 209,758 | ||
| D | 136,217 | 66,827 | 203,608 | ||
| D | 146,879 | 61,076 | 208,514 | ||
| D | 130,993 | 50,060 | 181,752 | ||
| D | 129,524 | 49,442 | 180,301 | ||
| R | 83,144 | 84,408 | 167,766 | ||
| D | 89,698 | 54,960 | 148,090 | ||
| D | 114,847 | 92,383 | 208,204 | ||
| D | 86,939 | 52,713 | 141,065 | ||
| D | 80,037 | 38,693 | 133,732 | ||
| D | 80,164 | 53,632 | 135,446 | ||
| D | 74,704 | 48,046 | 125,657 | ||
| D | 83,869 | 54,330 | 140,947 | ||
| D | 95,132 | 62,930 | 160,974 | ||
| D | 73,653 | 41,101 | 131,982 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.6%
American
12.0%
German
9.6%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
2.4%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,496
Nashville ranks near the middle of US counties.
Nashville$79,496
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.2%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)10.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.1%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Nashville DMA spans a swath of Middle Tennessee counties that have trended toward tighter margins as in-migration from coastal metros accelerates, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban sentiment.
The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in Nashville, by a fourteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at twenty-eight points in 2024. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
The political shift has tracked, in Nashville, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $79,496, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/659/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Nashville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville, Tennessee voted Republican by 27.9 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,380,712 votes cast, 485,893 went Democratic and 871,644 went Republican.
What is Nashville, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Nashville, Tennessee as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Nashville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville, Tennessee?
Nashville, Tennessee has a population of 3,150,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville, Tennessee is $79,496 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nashville, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.