akashic
1876–2024
Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn)·North Dakota

Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn) peaked at D+46; 2024 delivered R+52.

A high-plains media market where oil patch volatility shapes local politics

1876 — 2024·38 elections
ND
Latest
R+52
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
426,566
2024 ACS

Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+52%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+52MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
426,5662024 5-year
Median household income
$79,7562024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+46 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1892MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
40 counties · 2 D · 38 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−51.8%
45,891149,528200,217
R
−49.5%
47,581146,554199,825
R
−50.5%
38,459133,269187,652
R
−33.0%
55,395112,575173,011
R
−20.7%
64,75199,593168,415
R
−33.4%
53,946109,424166,125
R
−32.3%
47,00795,994151,748
R
−9.3%
54,81168,429145,708
R
−12.3%
51,77072,593168,936
R
−16.0%
67,95994,207164,119
R
−36.1%
54,353117,263174,373
R
−43.9%
41,218115,722169,663
R
−5.1%
73,75181,953159,962
R
−31.6%
50,16498,562153,073
R
−21.0%
50,89680,139139,462
D
+15.0%
83,54961,691145,488
R
−8.5%
70,98584,258155,406
R
−24.1%
54,24688,819143,359
R
−47.0%
39,134109,537149,777
R
−13.0%
49,43565,080120,784
R
−15.3%
50,48968,866120,376
R
−15.9%
66,23791,519159,174
D
+36.3%
97,24639,360159,636
D
+45.9%
105,92337,466149,035
R
−6.1%
62,62570,880135,033
O
−35.4%
6,68745,363109,182
R
−59.1%
19,81687,740115,010
D
+6.6%
36,44431,61773,305
O
+4.2%
13,18711,38243,382
R
−32.0%
13,88627,94143,958
R
−59.2%
4,92920,72226,698
R
−36.6%
4,4479,70514,372
R
−27.3%
3,0565,3698,466
R
−60.3%
03,8236,343
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
34.2%
Irish
7.0%
English
5.2%
American
4.0%
French
1.8%
Polish
1.2%
Italian
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.3%
2.2%
75–84
2.7%
5.0%
65–74
4.9%
6.0%
55–64
5.9%
5.4%
45–54
4.9%
7.1%
35–44
6.4%
7.2%
25–34
6.5%
4.6%
18–24
3.9%
9.7%
5–17
9.0%
3.4%
<5
3.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,756
Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn) ranks near the middle of US counties.
Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn)$79,756
North Dakota$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.2%
Working age (18–64)10.2%
Seniors (65+)13.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.0%
speak English only
Spanish2.7%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.8%
Mainline Protestant
19.5%
Other Christian
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Methodist
1.2%
Baptist
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the Bakken formation's western edge, this market blends legacy ranching communities with a boom-bust energy workforce that has repeatedly shifted population counts and precinct-level turnout across a half-dozen counties.

The Democratic margin in Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn) peaked at forty-six points in 1932. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $79,756 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/687/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota voted Republican by 51.8 points (R+52), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 200,217 votes cast, 45,891 went Democratic and 149,528 went Republican.
What is Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 28 times, and other 2 times.
When did Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota?
Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota has a population of 426,566 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota?
Median household income in Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota is $79,756 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.