akashic
1876–2024
Fargo-Valley City·North Dakota

Fargo-Valley City peaked at D+34; 2024 delivered R+24.

A prairie media market where urban Fargo pulls against rural red margins

18762024·38 elections
ND
Latest
R+24
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
663,744
2024 ACS

Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+24MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
663,7442024 5-year
Median household income
$73,2252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.2%2024 5-year
Black
3.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab
35 counties · 1 D · 34 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−23.8%
121,918200,682330,587
R
−20.0%
125,485190,496325,027
R
−23.1%
102,635173,167304,979
R
−7.4%
132,442154,127294,649
D
+1.7%
148,648143,436298,431
R
−18.3%
119,247173,611297,452
R
−20.4%
98,910154,234270,647
R
−0.2%
109,415109,996249,339
R
−6.3%
99,419116,840276,360
R
−6.6%
121,734139,160263,146
R
−19.7%
107,948161,459271,925
R
−22.2%
92,907154,225275,610
D
+1.0%
134,736132,072273,433
R
−16.1%
105,046146,312255,571
R
−6.0%
101,159114,855227,929
D
+21.9%
143,97092,164236,503
R
−6.3%
117,226133,044250,582
R
−11.3%
100,235125,893226,491
R
−26.7%
88,137152,981242,554
D
+8.6%
111,19492,879212,183
D
+6.6%
108,24994,703204,183
D
+6.5%
130,800114,757247,435
D
+32.8%
143,61468,103230,218
D
+34.4%
137,83065,440210,256
R
−18.4%
81,611118,956203,076
R
−42.8%
12,71286,757173,127
R
−57.1%
32,424132,946176,090
D
+0.1%
44,06443,99994,011
O
+11.9%
25,43516,28477,103
R
−23.5%
29,21148,97383,968
R
−56.0%
13,10653,17771,584
R
−18.5%
28,59942,29674,040
D
+0.1%
34,72934,69170,544
O
−22.6%
7,42019,02651,331
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
32.1%
Irish
7.2%
English
5.0%
French
3.1%
Polish
2.8%
American
2.7%
Italian
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.1%
Spanish1.8%
Other languages1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
29.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.0%
Other Christian
3.9%
Methodist
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Fargo's growing university and healthcare workforce has nudged the city itself toward competitive margins, while the surrounding Red River Valley counties reliably anchor statewide Republican totals by double digits.

The Democratic margin in Fargo-Valley City peaked at thirty-four points in 1932. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,225 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/724/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota voted Republican by 23.8 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 330,587 votes cast, 121,918 went Democratic and 200,682 went Republican.
What is Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 2 times.
When did Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota?
Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota has a population of 663,744 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota?
Median household income in Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota is $73,225 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.