Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 663,7442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,2252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 121,918 | 200,682 | 330,587 | ||
| R | 125,485 | 190,496 | 325,027 | ||
| R | 102,635 | 173,167 | 304,979 | ||
| R | 132,442 | 154,127 | 294,649 | ||
| D | 148,648 | 143,436 | 298,431 | ||
| R | 119,247 | 173,611 | 297,452 | ||
| R | 98,910 | 154,234 | 270,647 | ||
| R | 109,415 | 109,996 | 249,339 | ||
| R | 99,419 | 116,840 | 276,360 | ||
| R | 121,734 | 139,160 | 263,146 | ||
| R | 107,948 | 161,459 | 271,925 | ||
| R | 92,907 | 154,225 | 275,610 | ||
| D | 134,736 | 132,072 | 273,433 | ||
| R | 105,046 | 146,312 | 255,571 | ||
| R | 101,159 | 114,855 | 227,929 | ||
| D | 143,970 | 92,164 | 236,503 | ||
| R | 117,226 | 133,044 | 250,582 | ||
| R | 100,235 | 125,893 | 226,491 | ||
| R | 88,137 | 152,981 | 242,554 | ||
| D | 111,194 | 92,879 | 212,183 | ||
| D | 108,249 | 94,703 | 204,183 | ||
| D | 130,800 | 114,757 | 247,435 | ||
| D | 143,614 | 68,103 | 230,218 | ||
| D | 137,830 | 65,440 | 210,256 | ||
| R | 81,611 | 118,956 | 203,076 | ||
| R | 12,712 | 86,757 | 173,127 | ||
| R | 32,424 | 132,946 | 176,090 | ||
| D | 44,064 | 43,999 | 94,011 | ||
| O | 25,435 | 16,284 | 77,103 | ||
| R | 29,211 | 48,973 | 83,968 | ||
| R | 13,106 | 53,177 | 71,584 | ||
| R | 28,599 | 42,296 | 74,040 | ||
| D | 34,729 | 34,691 | 70,544 | ||
| O | 7,420 | 19,026 | 51,331 | ||
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Demographics
Fargo's growing university and healthcare workforce has nudged the city itself toward competitive margins, while the surrounding Red River Valley counties reliably anchor statewide Republican totals by double digits.
The Democratic margin in Fargo-Valley City peaked at thirty-four points in 1932. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,225 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Fargo-Valley City, North Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/724/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.