Boise, Idaho: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+25%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 928,5602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,7382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 157,473 | 269,135 | 438,405 | ||
| R | 163,054 | 242,557 | 418,679 | ||
| R | 103,938 | 180,333 | 324,313 | ||
| R | 112,324 | 178,001 | 299,634 | ||
| R | 119,249 | 173,811 | 301,006 | ||
| R | 85,175 | 175,461 | 263,858 | ||
| R | 62,329 | 139,213 | 213,403 | ||
| R | 69,423 | 112,127 | 205,391 | ||
| R | 52,979 | 88,718 | 194,285 | ||
| R | 54,596 | 101,553 | 159,658 | ||
| R | 40,110 | 116,383 | 158,555 | ||
| R | 42,966 | 109,449 | 167,791 | ||
| R | 45,305 | 79,122 | 127,866 | ||
| R | 26,101 | 77,529 | 115,298 | ||
| R | 25,708 | 64,011 | 103,412 | ||
| R | 46,888 | 54,992 | 101,888 | ||
| R | 41,930 | 63,206 | 105,136 | ||
| R | 31,383 | 61,261 | 92,644 | ||
| R | 27,638 | 65,949 | 93,735 | ||
| R | 31,393 | 37,756 | 71,024 | ||
| R | 30,253 | 35,611 | 66,306 | ||
| D | 36,674 | 34,989 | 71,887 | ||
| D | 35,164 | 20,352 | 59,623 | ||
| D | 29,235 | 21,070 | 53,229 | ||
| R | 12,037 | 29,840 | 42,359 | ||
| R | 6,875 | 19,001 | 41,685 | ||
| R | 14,247 | 25,561 | 40,040 | ||
| D | 17,986 | 15,422 | 35,870 | ||
| O | 8,985 | 8,591 | 29,823 | ||
| R | 10,693 | 13,568 | 26,270 | ||
| R | 5,167 | 12,710 | 19,856 | ||
| D | 7,522 | 7,400 | 15,421 | ||
| D | 6,728 | 2,117 | 8,933 | ||
| O | 265 | 2,635 | 6,439 | ||
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Demographics
The Boise media market anchors Idaho's most populous corridor, where rapid in-migration from California and the Pacific Northwest has introduced new demographic pressures into a region that has voted reliably Republican at the statewide level for decades.
The Democratic margin in Boise peaked at fifty-two points in 1896. By 1944 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $82,738 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Boise, Idaho — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/757/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.