Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+26%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 202,4082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41,927 | 72,543 | 117,246 | ||
| R | 39,220 | 73,658 | 115,535 | ||
| R | 27,195 | 64,161 | 98,840 | ||
| R | 29,984 | 61,024 | 93,077 | ||
| R | 30,503 | 56,777 | 88,784 | ||
| R | 24,340 | 52,757 | 78,104 | ||
| R | 19,506 | 41,662 | 65,269 | ||
| R | 21,133 | 31,491 | 58,851 | ||
| R | 18,875 | 23,016 | 55,790 | ||
| R | 18,120 | 28,162 | 47,148 | ||
| R | 12,802 | 30,898 | 44,247 | ||
| R | 9,781 | 29,371 | 42,716 | ||
| R | 11,971 | 22,762 | 35,672 | ||
| R | 8,228 | 20,098 | 29,672 | ||
| R | 11,169 | 14,292 | 28,383 | ||
| D | 16,725 | 10,995 | 27,791 | ||
| R | 11,933 | 17,055 | 29,057 | ||
| R | 10,028 | 16,923 | 27,030 | ||
| R | 8,920 | 16,162 | 25,216 | ||
| D | 10,945 | 9,059 | 20,301 | ||
| R | 9,128 | 9,605 | 18,835 | ||
| R | 10,707 | 10,793 | 21,767 | ||
| D | 10,762 | 5,902 | 17,824 | ||
| D | 9,198 | 6,380 | 16,665 | ||
| R | 4,520 | 9,319 | 14,073 | ||
| R | 3,627 | 6,130 | 13,435 | ||
| R | 4,660 | 5,846 | 11,329 | ||
| D | 6,965 | 3,538 | 11,574 | ||
| O | 4,211 | 1,607 | 11,576 | ||
| D | 4,285 | 4,242 | 9,877 | ||
| R | 2,477 | 4,089 | 7,294 | ||
| D | 3,006 | 1,975 | 5,368 | ||
| D | 3,722 | 651 | 4,530 | ||
| O | 0 | 830 | 2,100 | ||
| R | 760 | 952 | 1,809 | ||
| R | 559 | 773 | 1,357 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Anchored by Mesa County, this oil-and-gas-dependent market consistently produces some of Colorado's widest Republican margins, making it a reliable counterweight to the Front Range in statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Grand Junction-Montrose peaked at sixty-eight points in 1896. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,325 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/773/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.