Grand Rapids-Kalmzoo-B.Crk, Michigan: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,115,4932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,8642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 527,326 | 628,679 | 1,176,716 | ||
| R | 512,717 | 593,697 | 1,127,969 | ||
| R | 391,685 | 509,190 | 968,718 | ||
| R | 420,750 | 489,534 | 924,530 | ||
| D | 486,075 | 470,533 | 973,332 | ||
| R | 388,182 | 536,083 | 933,378 | ||
| R | 324,733 | 456,155 | 801,550 | ||
| R | 303,821 | 355,798 | 723,586 | ||
| R | 281,119 | 337,309 | 784,582 | ||
| R | 249,640 | 414,088 | 668,118 | ||
| R | 210,640 | 454,865 | 669,349 | ||
| R | 234,722 | 388,031 | 686,749 | ||
| R | 224,321 | 393,229 | 627,206 | ||
| R | 209,865 | 362,829 | 586,157 | ||
| R | 194,480 | 292,320 | 536,331 | ||
| D | 294,584 | 215,612 | 511,294 | ||
| R | 194,125 | 328,013 | 524,056 | ||
| R | 159,089 | 322,234 | 483,219 | ||
| R | 151,975 | 290,298 | 446,823 | ||
| R | 134,020 | 189,667 | 331,974 | ||
| R | 136,619 | 206,329 | 346,324 | ||
| R | 151,074 | 205,195 | 358,552 | ||
| D | 156,030 | 143,710 | 314,027 | ||
| R | 145,330 | 148,755 | 303,672 | ||
| R | 55,470 | 204,021 | 261,196 | ||
| R | 38,222 | 184,046 | 247,662 | ||
| R | 55,679 | 161,875 | 227,154 | ||
| R | 69,631 | 70,418 | 146,756 | ||
| O | 36,561 | 30,575 | 129,116 | ||
| R | 42,884 | 75,292 | 126,217 | ||
| R | 29,813 | 85,209 | 122,252 | ||
| R | 55,309 | 76,853 | 136,359 | ||
| R | 62,886 | 73,382 | 139,541 | ||
| R | 46,720 | 58,578 | 119,269 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Grand Rapids' mid-size urban core and stretched across a mix of mid-density suburbs and rural townships, this market has delivered some of Michigan's tightest federal margins over the past three election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Grand Rapids-Kalmzoo-B.Crk peaked at fifteen points in 1964. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,864 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Grand Rapids-Kalmzoo-B.Crk, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/563/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.