Great Falls, Montana: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 172,1522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Great Falls, MTOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27,271 | 49,178 | 79,074 | ||
| R | 30,470 | 50,552 | 83,136 | ||
| R | 24,396 | 43,403 | 73,400 | ||
| R | 30,882 | 40,924 | 74,009 | ||
| R | 35,741 | 37,694 | 75,548 | ||
| R | 28,350 | 43,622 | 73,531 | ||
| R | 25,878 | 42,984 | 72,854 | ||
| R | 32,132 | 33,579 | 76,445 | ||
| D | 30,364 | 28,415 | 80,893 | ||
| R | 34,460 | 39,249 | 75,014 | ||
| R | 30,377 | 48,902 | 80,188 | ||
| R | 24,682 | 46,536 | 78,418 | ||
| R | 34,451 | 37,353 | 73,179 | ||
| R | 28,337 | 41,881 | 74,149 | ||
| R | 30,547 | 32,305 | 67,643 | ||
| D | 42,488 | 26,181 | 68,876 | ||
| D | 37,213 | 32,936 | 70,280 | ||
| R | 31,702 | 35,534 | 67,236 | ||
| R | 28,970 | 37,629 | 66,983 | ||
| D | 34,661 | 20,603 | 57,469 | ||
| D | 32,212 | 20,276 | 52,883 | ||
| D | 41,022 | 21,942 | 63,613 | ||
| D | 46,640 | 14,105 | 62,265 | ||
| D | 35,343 | 18,794 | 56,823 | ||
| R | 21,160 | 28,550 | 50,134 | ||
| R | 8,796 | 18,047 | 43,463 | ||
| R | 15,355 | 28,929 | 47,496 | ||
| D | 26,303 | 15,006 | 44,003 | ||
| O | 5,712 | 4,405 | 17,307 | ||
| R | 4,754 | 6,149 | 11,914 | ||
| R | 3,488 | 7,071 | 11,377 | ||
| R | 4,797 | 5,259 | 10,186 | ||
| D | 4,980 | 2,770 | 7,775 | ||
| R | 2,420 | 2,849 | 5,760 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.0%
Irish
10.7%
English
10.1%
American
7.9%
Scottish
2.4%
Italian
2.4%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,811
Great Falls ranks near the middle of US counties.
Great Falls$62,811
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.0%
Working age (18–64)14.6%
Seniors (65+)13.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish1.3%
Other languages0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Great Falls media market stretches across north-central Montana's wheat belt and Missouri River corridor, a region where commodity prices and public-land policy reliably outweigh urban concerns in shaping voter priorities.
The Democratic margin in Great Falls peaked at fifty-two points in 1936. By 1996 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,811 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Great Falls, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/755/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Great Falls, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Great Falls, Montana voted Republican by 27.7 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 79,074 votes cast, 27,271 went Democratic and 49,178 went Republican.
What is Great Falls, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Great Falls, Montana as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Great Falls, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Great Falls, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Great Falls, Montana?
Great Falls, Montana has a population of 172,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Great Falls, Montana?
Median household income in Great Falls, Montana is $62,811 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Great Falls, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Great Falls, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.