Portland, OR, Oregon: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+18%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,528,1742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,3192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,055,580 | 720,871 | 1,846,869 | ||
| D | 1,134,644 | 750,308 | 1,947,336 | ||
| D | 840,011 | 591,802 | 1,608,868 | ||
| D | 811,823 | 585,431 | 1,447,618 | ||
| D | 852,707 | 560,718 | 1,451,811 | ||
| D | 767,180 | 650,918 | 1,438,078 | ||
| D | 591,733 | 528,438 | 1,193,606 | ||
| D | 528,931 | 399,165 | 1,068,293 | ||
| D | 486,531 | 355,779 | 1,120,331 | ||
| D | 480,617 | 418,730 | 917,354 | ||
| R | 416,336 | 501,978 | 923,332 | ||
| R | 355,835 | 405,668 | 876,454 | ||
| D | 375,220 | 372,264 | 780,892 | ||
| R | 315,656 | 370,595 | 719,061 | ||
| R | 299,074 | 306,194 | 640,052 | ||
| D | 400,694 | 211,174 | 614,078 | ||
| R | 289,983 | 318,806 | 609,629 | ||
| R | 265,315 | 314,458 | 579,890 | ||
| R | 230,707 | 322,253 | 556,028 | ||
| D | 212,602 | 202,792 | 433,405 | ||
| D | 222,882 | 181,052 | 409,401 | ||
| D | 219,985 | 173,746 | 396,581 | ||
| D | 229,797 | 96,934 | 343,419 | ||
| D | 175,972 | 106,027 | 298,188 | ||
| R | 94,057 | 164,943 | 263,275 | ||
| R | 53,511 | 113,408 | 225,909 | ||
| R | 63,328 | 113,066 | 189,996 | ||
| R | 93,598 | 103,901 | 209,145 | ||
| O | 38,742 | 30,674 | 116,331 | ||
| R | 29,879 | 51,722 | 89,676 | ||
| R | 12,961 | 49,528 | 72,110 | ||
| R | 24,960 | 37,547 | 66,147 | ||
| R | 35,345 | 40,463 | 77,385 | ||
| R | 12,264 | 28,729 | 62,751 | ||
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Demographics
The Portland media market anchors Oregon's Willamette Valley and consistently delivers some of the highest Democratic vote shares in the Pacific Northwest, making its turnout patterns a decisive variable in statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Portland, OR has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eighteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,319 — all within the broad national range.
Portland, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.