akashic
1876–2024
Portland, OR·Oregon

Portland, OR delivered D+18 in 2024.

A deep-blue metro where turnout margins shape statewide outcomes

18762024·38 elections
OR
Latest
D+18
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
3,528,174
2024 ACS

Portland, OR, Oregon: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+18%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
3,528,1742024 5-year
Median household income
$91,3192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.3%2024 5-year
Black
2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1904MIT Election Lab
28 counties · 7 D · 21 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+18.1%
1,055,580720,8711,846,869
D
+19.7%
1,134,644750,3081,947,336
D
+15.4%
840,011591,8021,608,868
D
+15.6%
811,823585,4311,447,618
D
+20.1%
852,707560,7181,451,811
D
+8.1%
767,180650,9181,438,078
D
+5.3%
591,733528,4381,193,606
D
+12.1%
528,931399,1651,068,293
D
+11.7%
486,531355,7791,120,331
D
+6.7%
480,617418,730917,354
R
−9.3%
416,336501,978923,332
R
−5.7%
355,835405,668876,454
D
+0.4%
375,220372,264780,892
R
−7.6%
315,656370,595719,061
R
−1.1%
299,074306,194640,052
D
+30.9%
400,694211,174614,078
R
−4.7%
289,983318,806609,629
R
−8.5%
265,315314,458579,890
R
−16.5%
230,707322,253556,028
D
+2.3%
212,602202,792433,405
D
+10.2%
222,882181,052409,401
D
+11.7%
219,985173,746396,581
D
+38.7%
229,79796,934343,419
D
+23.5%
175,972106,027298,188
R
−26.9%
94,057164,943263,275
R
−26.5%
53,511113,408225,909
R
−26.2%
63,328113,066189,996
R
−4.9%
93,598103,901209,145
O
+6.9%
38,74230,674116,331
R
−24.4%
29,87951,72289,676
R
−50.7%
12,96149,52872,110
R
−19.0%
24,96037,54766,147
R
−6.6%
35,34540,46377,385
R
−26.2%
12,26428,72962,751
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.2%
English
13.5%
Irish
10.5%
American
4.4%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
2.9%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
82.5%
speak English only
Spanish9.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
12.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Baptist
0.8%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Portland media market anchors Oregon's Willamette Valley and consistently delivers some of the highest Democratic vote shares in the Pacific Northwest, making its turnout patterns a decisive variable in statewide races.

The Democratic margin in Portland, OR has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eighteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,319 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Portland, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Portland, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Portland, OR, Oregon voted Democratic by 18.1 points (D+18), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,846,869 votes cast, 1,055,580 went Democratic and 720,871 went Republican.
What is Portland, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Portland, OR, Oregon as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Portland, OR, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Portland, OR, Oregon voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Portland, OR, Oregon?
Portland, OR, Oregon has a population of 3,528,174 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Portland, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Portland, OR, Oregon is $91,319 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Portland, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Portland, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.