Portland-Auburn, Maine: Populist market. In 2024, voted D+12%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,052,9192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,5542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 350,500 | 272,376 | 636,328 | ||
| D | 350,902 | 259,602 | 634,351 | ||
| D | 283,222 | 242,908 | 567,099 | ||
| D | 312,686 | 214,962 | 541,823 | ||
| D | 328,844 | 214,987 | 554,010 | ||
| D | 302,802 | 243,491 | 556,256 | ||
| D | 242,865 | 209,459 | 485,320 | ||
| D | 231,295 | 139,446 | 444,541 | ||
| D | 196,591 | 154,722 | 496,423 | ||
| R | 176,336 | 231,469 | 411,088 | ||
| R | 156,498 | 244,540 | 402,562 | ||
| R | 158,206 | 173,584 | 378,403 | ||
| D | 171,468 | 169,065 | 349,809 | ||
| R | 119,469 | 184,329 | 304,384 | ||
| D | 161,739 | 119,749 | 286,496 | ||
| D | 194,361 | 83,620 | 278,163 | ||
| R | 138,819 | 165,553 | 304,377 | ||
| R | 83,660 | 182,529 | 266,199 | ||
| R | 94,911 | 169,549 | 264,868 | ||
| R | 90,727 | 111,648 | 204,625 | ||
| D | 111,447 | 110,765 | 222,430 | ||
| D | 119,204 | 112,401 | 231,850 | ||
| R | 98,152 | 114,834 | 218,212 | ||
| R | 93,247 | 114,752 | 209,988 | ||
| R | 63,040 | 122,659 | 186,456 | ||
| R | 36,250 | 97,941 | 143,123 | ||
| R | 47,333 | 94,010 | 143,238 | ||
| R | 45,366 | 46,225 | 93,660 | ||
| D | 36,640 | 19,488 | 89,286 | ||
| R | 26,587 | 45,712 | 75,223 | ||
| R | 22,323 | 44,845 | 69,939 | ||
| R | 29,020 | 46,024 | 77,191 | ||
| R | 23,295 | 54,003 | 79,981 | ||
| R | 34,685 | 42,803 | 80,720 | ||
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Demographics
The Portland-Auburn market covers roughly half of Maine's population and consistently posts the state's most competitive federal margins, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide outcomes.
The Democratic margin in Portland-Auburn peaked at forty points in 1964. By 1992 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $81,554 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Portland-Auburn, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.