akashic
1876–2024
Pittsburgh·Pennsylvania

Pittsburgh peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+8.

Rust Belt bellwether where suburban shift reshapes statewide math

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
2,821,450
2024 ACS

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
2,821,4502024 5-year
Median household income
$74,6002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.3%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1904MIT Election Lab
16 counties · 1 D · 15 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−8.0%
727,001856,0161,603,473
R
−6.8%
724,053831,7451,574,717
R
−9.0%
610,812738,2521,413,486
R
−4.1%
624,991678,6871,324,200
D
+0.8%
688,397677,2761,380,851
D
+1.6%
692,813670,2241,371,504
D
+5.6%
625,081556,8531,216,909
D
+10.7%
564,543443,0851,131,181
D
+19.8%
630,813381,8901,257,432
D
+16.4%
676,460484,1291,170,795
D
+9.8%
716,689587,8801,315,840
D
+3.9%
591,259543,2331,223,272
D
+6.7%
656,117572,0601,254,676
R
−15.6%
516,347712,6631,254,873
D
+13.2%
682,426506,8021,330,725
D
+34.9%
908,590437,2341,350,628
D
+9.0%
770,378642,6751,415,720
R
−7.9%
606,300710,8331,319,025
D
+2.6%
692,126656,3971,354,121
D
+10.1%
575,428467,1501,068,243
D
+10.4%
610,520494,5051,110,733
D
+12.8%
660,804510,3351,176,202
D
+27.2%
700,977395,5001,123,896
D
+7.7%
387,758330,014750,737
R
−25.9%
285,298487,118779,549
R
−44.9%
81,658330,009553,590
R
−40.2%
110,625287,788440,980
R
−12.3%
121,680159,560306,891
O
+10.6%
83,60453,668282,583
R
−23.6%
95,411161,939282,093
R
−44.9%
66,717186,691267,224
R
−27.0%
88,786157,202253,249
R
−26.9%
93,399164,137263,175
R
−11.4%
87,756111,456207,863
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.2%
Irish
16.4%
Italian
13.9%
English
9.6%
Polish
7.1%
American
3.7%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.4%
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
28.3%
Other Christian
7.8%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
Methodist
5.0%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Baptist
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Pittsburgh media market spans Allegheny County's Democratic core and a broad ring of ancestrally blue, now competitive collar counties, making marginal swings here disproportionately consequential in Pennsylvania statewide races.

The Democratic margin in Pittsburgh peaked at thirty-five points in 1964. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $74,600 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/508/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 8.0 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,603,473 votes cast, 727,001 went Democratic and 856,016 went Republican.
What is Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania?
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania has a population of 2,821,450 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania is $74,600 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.