Las Vegas, Nevada: Tossup market. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,388,2972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 528,060 | 514,106 | 1,060,692 | ||
| D | 529,470 | 450,525 | 1,000,334 | ||
| D | 407,606 | 335,052 | 788,883 | ||
| D | 396,656 | 301,310 | 710,864 | ||
| D | 388,509 | 268,113 | 666,830 | ||
| D | 287,801 | 265,403 | 561,954 | ||
| D | 201,086 | 179,208 | 396,335 | ||
| D | 131,762 | 108,346 | 273,704 | ||
| D | 127,658 | 101,036 | 312,661 | ||
| R | 80,573 | 112,764 | 198,946 | ||
| R | 55,052 | 98,881 | 156,968 | ||
| R | 39,682 | 79,668 | 132,730 | ||
| D | 53,081 | 49,963 | 106,626 | ||
| R | 37,991 | 55,229 | 93,220 | ||
| D | 34,367 | 32,920 | 78,249 | ||
| D | 42,821 | 25,183 | 68,004 | ||
| D | 25,713 | 19,490 | 45,203 | ||
| D | 20,647 | 20,415 | 41,062 | ||
| R | 13,363 | 15,273 | 28,636 | ||
| D | 12,386 | 7,624 | 20,396 | ||
| D | 9,588 | 5,790 | 15,378 | ||
| D | 7,961 | 3,360 | 11,321 | ||
| D | 8,225 | 1,896 | 10,121 | ||
| D | 8,238 | 2,148 | 10,386 | ||
| R | 2,649 | 2,795 | 5,444 | ||
| O | 999 | 1,617 | 4,601 | ||
| R | 1,993 | 2,538 | 5,002 | ||
| D | 3,350 | 1,750 | 5,914 | ||
| O | 1,502 | 555 | 3,743 | ||
| D | 1,987 | 1,814 | 4,388 | ||
| R | 684 | 916 | 1,770 | ||
| D | 754 | 265 | 1,019 | ||
| D | 1,075 | 42 | 1,117 | ||
| O | 33 | 113 | 801 | ||
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Demographics
The Las Vegas media market anchors Clark County, home to roughly 75% of Nevada's voters, where rapid in-migration and a large hospitality workforce produce unusually high voter-roll churn and make traditional likely-voter screens difficult to calibrate.
The market's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-two points in 1896; the Republican margin reached thirty points in 1980. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 2,388,297, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,106 — situate the market close to national averages on several dimensions.
Las Vegas, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/839/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.