Maine 15th State Senate District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+15 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,4432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,0772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 15, MEOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,212 | 10,804 | 21,521 | ||
| D | 10,306 | 10,252 | 21,218 | ||
| R | 8,652 | 9,353 | 19,549 | ||
| D | 10,341 | 7,827 | 18,669 | ||
| D | 10,995 | 8,115 | 19,484 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.9%
Irish
15.5%
French
15.4%
German
7.1%
American
5.7%
Italian
5.0%
Scottish
4.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,077
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$69,077
Maine$74,733
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.1%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)9.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.1%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With roughly 37,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of D+11.3, this district reflects the Democratic-leaning pattern common to Maine's coastal communities, where college-educated and seasonal-economy voters tend to concentrate.
The Democratic margin in Maine 15th State Senate District has rarely exceeded fifteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 92% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,077 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/23015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 15, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Maine voted Republican by 2.8 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,521 votes cast, 10,212 went Democratic and 10,804 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Maine as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Maine voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Maine?
State Senate District 15, Maine has a population of 37,443 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Maine?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Maine is $69,077 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Maine?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Maine from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.