akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 16·Maine

Maine 16th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Maine's most Democratic-leaning legislative districts

20082024·5 elections
ME
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
38,496
2024 ACS

Maine 16th State Senate District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+13 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
38,4962024 5-year
Median household income
$67,2412024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+13 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.7%
10,02011,50522,018
R
−3.6%
10,10910,88321,649
R
−6.7%
8,5549,90520,030
D
+11.5%
10,3958,19219,104
D
+13.3%
11,0978,44819,935

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.7%
Irish
15.5%
French
14.7%
German
7.1%
American
6.1%
Italian
4.8%
Scottish
4.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.8%
Spanish0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.7%
Other Christian
5.9%
Baptist
5.2%
Methodist
2.2%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 25 points for Democrats, this district stands well outside Maine's competitive middle, anchored by a population of roughly 38,000 in a state otherwise known for its swing-district battlegrounds.

The Democratic margin in Maine 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $67,241 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/23016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Maine voted Republican by 6.7 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,018 votes cast, 10,020 went Democratic and 11,505 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Maine as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Maine?
State Senate District 16, Maine has a population of 38,496 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Maine?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Maine is $67,241 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Maine?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Maine from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.