Maine 16th State Senate District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+13 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 38,4962024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,2412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,020 | 11,505 | 22,018 | ||
| R | 10,109 | 10,883 | 21,649 | ||
| R | 8,554 | 9,905 | 20,030 | ||
| D | 10,395 | 8,192 | 19,104 | ||
| D | 11,097 | 8,448 | 19,935 |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 25 points for Democrats, this district stands well outside Maine's competitive middle, anchored by a population of roughly 38,000 in a state otherwise known for its swing-district battlegrounds.
The Democratic margin in Maine 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $67,241 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 16, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/23016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.