Montana 45th State Senate District, Montana: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+4%. Democratic peak: D+18 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 21,6772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 45, MTOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 6,512 | 5,974 | 12,933 | ||
| D | 6,578 | 5,609 | 12,551 | ||
| D | 4,796 | 4,507 | 10,414 | ||
| D | 5,169 | 4,435 | 9,950 | ||
| D | 5,817 | 4,000 | 10,200 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.0%
Irish
14.4%
English
13.2%
Italian
4.4%
French
4.1%
American
3.7%
Scottish
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,273
State Senate District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 45$72,273
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.2%
Working age (18–64)11.3%
Seniors (65+)8.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.7%
Spanish1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 73.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+58.1, this sparsely populated district ranks among the most one-sided in the state. Its low population density and rural character make competitive general elections exceptionally rare.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighteen points in 2008; Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 21,677, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,273 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 45, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/30045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 45, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 45, Montana voted Democratic by 4.2 points (D+4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,933 votes cast, 6,512 went Democratic and 5,974 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 45, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 45, Montana as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 45, Montana?
State Senate District 45, Montana has a population of 21,677 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 45, Montana?
Median household income in State Senate District 45, Montana is $72,273 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State Senate District 45, Montana?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 45, Montana from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.