akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 46·Montana

Montana 46th State Senate District delivered D+6 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

20082024·5 elections
MT
Latest
D+6
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
21,804
2024 ACS

Montana 46th State Senate District, Montana: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+17 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
21,8042024 5-year
Median household income
$70,9202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 2008MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+6.3%
6,4575,66712,545
D
+9.7%
6,6065,40612,369
D
+2.8%
4,7434,46110,218
D
+7.6%
5,1474,4039,843
D
+17.4%
5,7994,01910,220

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.5%
Irish
13.8%
English
13.2%
American
4.3%
Italian
3.8%
French
3.0%
Scottish
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.7%
Spanish1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
11.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
0.7%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Montana 46th State Senate District in the Northern Rockies delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the district by six points — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventeen points in 2008; Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 21,804, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,920 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 46, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/30046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 46, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 46, Montana voted Democratic by 6.3 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,545 votes cast, 6,457 went Democratic and 5,667 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 46, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 46, Montana as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 46, Montana?
State Senate District 46, Montana has a population of 21,804 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 46, Montana?
Median household income in State Senate District 46, Montana is $70,920 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State Senate District 46, Montana?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 46, Montana from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.