akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Nevada

Nevada 15th State Senate District delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Nevada's most reliably Republican legislative districts

20082024·5 elections
NV
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
144,650
2024 ACS

Nevada 15th State Senate District, Nevada: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+13 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
144,6502024 5-year
Median household income
$88,0962024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
26.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+13 in 2008MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.0%
37,84137,07776,728
D
+4.5%
37,27633,96973,355
D
+1.2%
28,33027,56861,069
D
+3.7%
27,75725,73454,653
D
+12.6%
28,99722,36752,488

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.7%
English
11.8%
Irish
10.9%
Italian
6.2%
American
3.9%
French
2.2%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
78.6%
speak English only
Spanish15.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.6%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
24.4%
Other Christian
9.3%
Baptist
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering rural stretches of northern Nevada, this district delivered a 62-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier in a state that has trended competitive at the statewide level.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirteen points in 2008; Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 144,650, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $88,096 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/32015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Nevada voted Democratic by 1.0 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 76,728 votes cast, 37,841 went Democratic and 37,077 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Nevada's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Nevada as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Nevada?
State Senate District 15, Nevada has a population of 144,650 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Nevada?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Nevada is $88,096 — above the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Nevada?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Nevada from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.