Nevada 16th State Senate District, Nevada: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+7 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 145,6602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,9362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36,038 | 40,281 | 78,234 | ||
| R | 35,063 | 37,536 | 74,769 | ||
| R | 26,645 | 30,578 | 62,665 | ||
| R | 27,163 | 28,500 | 57,037 | ||
| D | 29,388 | 25,516 | 56,257 |
Demographics
Nevada SD-16 sits in the Las Vegas metro area, where shifting suburban demographics have made it a consistent single-digit battleground in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential result landing at D+3.7.
The Democratic margin in Nevada 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,936 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 16, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/32016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.