Ft. Wayne, Indiana: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 753,1592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,3382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 108,873 | 213,463 | 328,790 | ||
| R | 112,681 | 215,251 | 335,172 | ||
| R | 88,777 | 193,312 | 300,405 | ||
| R | 106,398 | 181,968 | 294,547 | ||
| R | 131,369 | 168,367 | 303,367 | ||
| R | 89,314 | 183,722 | 274,938 | ||
| R | 85,694 | 156,583 | 247,599 | ||
| R | 87,812 | 127,256 | 240,915 | ||
| R | 81,577 | 120,173 | 262,261 | ||
| R | 80,257 | 162,910 | 244,816 | ||
| R | 78,642 | 164,214 | 244,863 | ||
| R | 83,072 | 145,505 | 251,270 | ||
| R | 99,957 | 144,041 | 247,602 | ||
| R | 79,464 | 161,830 | 242,956 | ||
| R | 87,075 | 130,123 | 237,628 | ||
| D | 123,999 | 106,625 | 231,790 | ||
| R | 89,821 | 144,444 | 235,194 | ||
| R | 68,331 | 143,016 | 212,299 | ||
| R | 72,119 | 136,542 | 211,726 | ||
| R | 82,009 | 101,440 | 186,168 | ||
| R | 76,984 | 113,225 | 192,255 | ||
| R | 85,831 | 113,798 | 200,807 | ||
| D | 105,658 | 80,793 | 191,137 | ||
| D | 107,208 | 78,587 | 188,804 | ||
| R | 69,783 | 99,577 | 170,336 | ||
| R | 60,403 | 83,142 | 154,280 | ||
| R | 60,343 | 89,860 | 157,386 | ||
| R | 41,788 | 41,970 | 90,454 | ||
| D | 37,365 | 18,877 | 82,406 | ||
| D | 46,521 | 43,061 | 93,892 | ||
| R | 38,706 | 47,244 | 91,121 | ||
| D | 45,009 | 43,208 | 90,467 | ||
| D | 45,855 | 43,144 | 90,213 | ||
| D | 39,677 | 33,539 | 78,972 | ||
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Demographics
Fort Wayne's media market covers a swath of rural and mid-size industrial communities in northeast Indiana, where Republican margins tend to run deep but turnout variation in Allen County can shift the region's aggregate numbers.
The Democratic margin in Ft. Wayne peaked at twenty-two points in 1912. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,338 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Ft. Wayne, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/509/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.