Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 931,1002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 120,225 | 235,021 | 364,496 | ||
| R | 119,026 | 226,276 | 355,354 | ||
| R | 92,178 | 196,945 | 300,555 | ||
| R | 87,230 | 181,071 | 275,457 | ||
| R | 91,239 | 174,929 | 271,743 | ||
| R | 98,132 | 162,494 | 263,341 | ||
| R | 85,232 | 129,392 | 221,134 | ||
| R | 87,832 | 88,618 | 198,010 | ||
| D | 90,770 | 88,291 | 210,142 | ||
| R | 57,110 | 109,499 | 168,421 | ||
| R | 52,979 | 123,428 | 178,275 | ||
| R | 62,440 | 101,343 | 173,080 | ||
| D | 82,385 | 69,066 | 151,933 | ||
| R | 32,346 | 97,656 | 130,890 | ||
| R | 32,223 | 48,760 | 115,410 | ||
| D | 55,035 | 44,485 | 99,803 | ||
| R | 37,369 | 50,918 | 89,325 | ||
| R | 36,701 | 44,047 | 81,131 | ||
| R | 38,838 | 46,188 | 85,188 | ||
| D | 33,234 | 18,875 | 54,758 | ||
| D | 30,345 | 22,339 | 52,793 | ||
| D | 34,042 | 19,069 | 53,390 | ||
| D | 33,441 | 14,892 | 48,470 | ||
| D | 39,820 | 12,625 | 53,182 | ||
| R | 24,182 | 26,196 | 50,655 | ||
| D | 22,301 | 15,650 | 42,329 | ||
| D | 24,612 | 23,254 | 49,320 | ||
| D | 23,578 | 12,784 | 37,545 | ||
| D | 15,965 | 6,452 | 28,868 | ||
| D | 20,556 | 14,710 | 37,598 | ||
| D | 11,243 | 8,491 | 21,030 | ||
| D | 15,630 | 7,945 | 23,916 | ||
| D | 19,560 | 7,587 | 27,419 | ||
| D | 16,475 | 9,395 | 27,907 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
German
11.0%
Irish
9.3%
American
6.6%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,263
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs ranks near the middle of US counties.
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs$72,263
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.4%
Working age (18–64)12.3%
Seniors (65+)11.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.1%
speak English only
Spanish10.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.
The shift began with civil rights. 1996 marked the realignment in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, by a zero points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-one points.
The political shift has tracked, in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,263, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/670/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas voted Republican by 31.5 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 364,496 votes cast, 120,225 went Democratic and 235,021 went Republican.
What is Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas has a population of 931,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Median household income in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas is $72,263 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.