akashic
1876–2024
Ft. Myers-Naples·Florida

Ft. Myers-Naples voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 31 points.

Retirement-driven growth reshaping southwest Florida's political math

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+31
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
1,507,352
2024 ACS

Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
1,507,3522024 5-year
Median household income
$77,6532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.7%2024 5-year
Black
7.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
24.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 1972MIT Election Lab
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.3%
260,110499,017764,095
R
−22.3%
288,162455,441748,849
R
−23.2%
229,105373,161619,869
R
−19.8%
208,289311,965523,999
R
−13.2%
223,944292,542520,790
R
−22.1%
181,599285,959472,609
R
−19.8%
141,159212,890362,818
R
−11.0%
124,642159,829321,317
R
−13.1%
102,005143,729318,829
R
−37.4%
74,719164,871241,167
R
−47.7%
55,786157,462213,288
R
−34.8%
52,092112,576174,014
R
−10.8%
55,99469,851127,873
R
−58.3%
18,32369,86788,406
R
−19.7%
15,81328,05862,126
R
−7.2%
21,48224,80746,289
R
−20.7%
12,56619,13531,701
R
−18.6%
9,41013,70223,112
R
−6.3%
8,97210,18619,158
D
+6.3%
4,8954,14111,879
D
+38.1%
7,8103,50311,313
D
+45.9%
8,6423,20811,850
D
+43.4%
7,0912,8029,893
D
+50.6%
6,7702,2238,993
R
−21.0%
3,1464,8528,126
D
+32.6%
2,2991,0683,771
D
+31.3%
3,4341,7035,538
D
+52.7%
2,5065523,708
D
+57.3%
1,2791481,973
D
+47.8%
1,2583161,970
D
+47.4%
9872721,509
D
+69.9%
27839342
D
+47.4%
22274312
D
+96.2%
1530159
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.7%
Irish
10.9%
English
9.8%
American
8.8%
Italian
7.6%
Polish
3.1%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.8%
speak English only
Spanish19.7%
Other Indo-European5.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
24.2%
Other Christian
12.7%
Baptist
3.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Methodist
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Ft. Myers-Naples market anchors one of Florida's fastest-growing corridors, where an influx of retirees and transplants from northern states has steadily shifted registration totals and turnout patterns over the past two decades.

The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Ft. Myers-Naples, by a six points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

The political shift has tracked, in Ft. Myers-Naples, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,653, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/571/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida voted Republican by 31.3 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 764,095 votes cast, 260,110 went Democratic and 499,017 went Republican.
What is Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida?
Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida has a population of 1,507,352 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida?
Median household income in Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida is $77,653 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ft. Myers-Naples, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.