Burlington-Plattsburgh, Vermont: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+23%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 861,9112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,3022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1896MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 287,546 | 176,678 | 481,126 | ||
| D | 294,485 | 165,727 | 473,492 | ||
| D | 223,532 | 144,424 | 415,201 | ||
| D | 252,330 | 132,643 | 393,918 | ||
| D | 275,025 | 140,868 | 423,504 | ||
| D | 231,058 | 170,285 | 409,837 | ||
| D | 187,571 | 162,268 | 378,489 | ||
| D | 178,978 | 111,439 | 339,874 | ||
| D | 164,562 | 124,547 | 373,542 | ||
| R | 143,845 | 170,428 | 317,805 | ||
| R | 117,527 | 186,901 | 307,249 | ||
| R | 108,093 | 133,955 | 284,336 | ||
| R | 109,485 | 143,027 | 257,436 | ||
| R | 91,311 | 164,821 | 258,120 | ||
| R | 95,615 | 120,876 | 225,274 | ||
| D | 155,354 | 76,064 | 231,475 | ||
| R | 104,678 | 135,559 | 240,295 | ||
| R | 62,155 | 159,217 | 221,396 | ||
| R | 67,098 | 155,359 | 222,979 | ||
| R | 71,228 | 110,163 | 184,741 | ||
| R | 84,143 | 104,577 | 188,849 | ||
| R | 97,895 | 116,239 | 214,626 | ||
| R | 93,036 | 118,463 | 212,418 | ||
| R | 88,295 | 110,097 | 200,345 | ||
| R | 73,808 | 121,981 | 196,428 | ||
| R | 33,336 | 109,022 | 150,176 | ||
| R | 36,778 | 99,676 | 137,857 | ||
| R | 36,375 | 56,036 | 94,301 | ||
| R | 26,345 | 35,853 | 91,246 | ||
| R | 23,727 | 59,082 | 85,749 | ||
| R | 22,051 | 61,590 | 86,171 | ||
| R | 25,068 | 62,394 | 88,992 | ||
| R | 19,809 | 69,640 | 92,446 | ||
| R | 30,971 | 54,671 | 88,108 | ||
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Demographics
Burlington anchors Vermont's most reliably left-leaning corridor, while the Plattsburgh side stretches into Clinton and Essex counties—North Country territory where margins tighten and ticket-splitting remains a live variable.
The Democratic margin in Burlington-Plattsburgh has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by twenty-three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,302 — all within the broad national range.
Burlington-Plattsburgh, Vermont — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/523/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.