Toledo, Ohio: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,053,3722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,4092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Toledo, OHOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 218,681 | 292,307 | 519,017 | ||
| R | 230,855 | 287,143 | 527,213 | ||
| R | 212,194 | 256,708 | 508,151 | ||
| D | 275,021 | 228,374 | 517,709 | ||
| D | 293,654 | 233,122 | 536,925 | ||
| R | 258,515 | 269,948 | 530,928 | ||
| R | 214,535 | 225,661 | 454,453 | ||
| D | 212,232 | 171,572 | 436,219 | ||
| D | 194,509 | 176,085 | 478,248 | ||
| R | 188,600 | 231,445 | 423,771 | ||
| R | 171,458 | 268,955 | 444,380 | ||
| R | 160,695 | 226,224 | 426,145 | ||
| R | 198,919 | 199,155 | 407,294 | ||
| R | 161,877 | 226,814 | 399,118 | ||
| R | 163,208 | 183,170 | 381,644 | ||
| D | 243,369 | 142,255 | 385,684 | ||
| R | 175,153 | 234,110 | 409,338 | ||
| R | 142,478 | 238,272 | 380,824 | ||
| R | 147,761 | 234,147 | 382,025 | ||
| R | 136,028 | 162,829 | 301,685 | ||
| R | 129,464 | 196,748 | 326,323 | ||
| R | 141,304 | 201,920 | 343,295 | ||
| D | 154,013 | 128,760 | 309,789 | ||
| D | 155,537 | 120,879 | 283,585 | ||
| R | 90,555 | 185,133 | 277,049 | ||
| R | 51,097 | 133,441 | 232,076 | ||
| R | 80,462 | 138,939 | 227,277 | ||
| D | 78,492 | 55,101 | 138,814 | ||
| D | 52,352 | 22,767 | 118,817 | ||
| D | 63,050 | 61,962 | 131,434 | ||
| R | 43,649 | 71,304 | 121,103 | ||
| D | 62,978 | 62,302 | 128,010 | ||
| D | 64,967 | 61,303 | 127,708 | ||
| D | 51,208 | 47,534 | 104,535 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.1%
Irish
10.9%
English
10.4%
American
6.1%
Polish
5.3%
Italian
3.4%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,409
Toledo ranks near the middle of US counties.
Toledo$67,409
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.0%
Working age (18–64)12.9%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Toledo's media market spans northwest Ohio and reaches into southeast Michigan, blending industrial Rust Belt precincts with rural agricultural counties that together make statewide margins unusually sensitive to shifts here.
The Democratic margin in Toledo peaked at twenty-six points in 1964. By 2016 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,409 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/547/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Toledo, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, Ohio voted Republican by 14.2 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 519,017 votes cast, 218,681 went Democratic and 292,307 went Republican.
What is Toledo, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Toledo, Ohio as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Toledo, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Toledo, Ohio?
Toledo, Ohio has a population of 1,053,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, Ohio is $67,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Toledo, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.