Topeka, Kansas: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 464,2422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,6092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1892MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 79,414 | 118,865 | 203,454 | ||
| R | 84,578 | 119,829 | 209,866 | ||
| R | 65,235 | 104,040 | 185,422 | ||
| R | 72,287 | 104,660 | 181,448 | ||
| R | 82,626 | 111,207 | 197,613 | ||
| R | 72,050 | 116,802 | 191,863 | ||
| R | 69,305 | 97,846 | 176,473 | ||
| R | 67,656 | 92,962 | 182,140 | ||
| R | 67,315 | 72,633 | 196,330 | ||
| R | 74,027 | 92,712 | 168,842 | ||
| R | 57,551 | 115,531 | 175,012 | ||
| R | 54,873 | 100,166 | 170,560 | ||
| R | 73,352 | 95,988 | 173,979 | ||
| R | 46,867 | 113,522 | 164,015 | ||
| R | 49,719 | 87,351 | 153,012 | ||
| D | 75,646 | 72,496 | 149,163 | ||
| R | 56,509 | 100,685 | 157,753 | ||
| R | 45,016 | 106,357 | 151,953 | ||
| R | 44,033 | 117,539 | 162,306 | ||
| R | 60,976 | 87,551 | 151,011 | ||
| R | 47,510 | 89,654 | 137,981 | ||
| R | 63,194 | 104,891 | 169,241 | ||
| R | 83,189 | 87,497 | 171,507 | ||
| D | 78,816 | 76,239 | 158,305 | ||
| R | 38,833 | 106,830 | 146,641 | ||
| R | 30,046 | 89,829 | 135,746 | ||
| R | 33,600 | 80,630 | 116,419 | ||
| R | 60,918 | 65,493 | 131,508 | ||
| D | 30,883 | 18,440 | 78,269 | ||
| R | 33,618 | 44,790 | 80,762 | ||
| R | 19,025 | 50,395 | 74,306 | ||
| R | 36,608 | 46,647 | 84,362 | ||
| R | 40,827 | 41,906 | 83,692 | ||
| O | 0 | 37,467 | 76,830 | ||
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Demographics
Centered on Shawnee County, the Topeka market blends state-government workers with surrounding rural counties, producing a electorate that has backed statewide candidates from both parties within the same cycle.
The Democratic margin in Topeka peaked at sixteen points in 1912. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,609 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Topeka, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/605/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.