Rapid City, South Dakota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 265,6942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 38,820 | 94,367 | 136,667 | ||
| R | 38,972 | 91,150 | 134,287 | ||
| R | 27,604 | 79,114 | 115,687 | ||
| R | 32,580 | 74,646 | 110,336 | ||
| R | 39,514 | 72,716 | 115,068 | ||
| R | 33,109 | 77,566 | 112,932 | ||
| D | 31,519 | 25,424 | 58,789 | ||
| R | 20,051 | 31,317 | 59,505 | ||
| R | 18,100 | 27,063 | 61,069 | ||
| R | 32,910 | 53,651 | 87,391 | ||
| R | 23,417 | 63,125 | 87,203 | ||
| R | 20,608 | 56,700 | 83,191 | ||
| R | 29,656 | 41,462 | 72,188 | ||
| R | 23,410 | 46,999 | 70,746 | ||
| R | 21,442 | 36,565 | 62,648 | ||
| D | 34,153 | 34,095 | 68,248 | ||
| R | 27,039 | 43,545 | 70,588 | ||
| R | 22,400 | 41,286 | 63,686 | ||
| R | 18,787 | 48,029 | 66,850 | ||
| R | 23,736 | 29,800 | 54,083 | ||
| R | 19,745 | 28,668 | 48,414 | ||
| R | 28,324 | 37,143 | 65,496 | ||
| D | 33,352 | 28,375 | 63,438 | ||
| D | 35,322 | 24,462 | 61,230 | ||
| R | 17,644 | 34,518 | 52,550 | ||
| R | 8,836 | 23,594 | 42,587 | ||
| R | 10,010 | 22,608 | 36,447 | ||
| R | 13,780 | 13,804 | 29,091 | ||
| O | 11,164 | 2,043 | 25,888 | ||
| R | 8,141 | 12,188 | 22,288 | ||
| R | 4,577 | 11,932 | 18,122 | ||
| R | 7,078 | 8,637 | 15,891 | ||
| D | 8,098 | 6,544 | 14,721 | ||
| R | 1,277 | 5,954 | 12,252 | ||
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Demographics
The Rapid City media market anchors western South Dakota and pulls in corners of Wyoming and Nebraska, blending rural agricultural precincts with an urban core that has shifted measurably as the metro's population climbed past 80,000.
The Democratic margin in Rapid City peaked at thirty-five points in 1912. By 2004 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,385 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Rapid City, South Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/764/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.