akashic
1876–2024
Rapid City·South Dakota

Rapid City peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+41.

Black Hills hub where ranching counties meet a fast-growing regional city

18762024·38 elections
SD
Latest
R+41
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
265,694
2024 ACS

Rapid City, South Dakota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1984.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+41MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
265,6942024 5-year
Median household income
$73,3852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
18 counties · 0 D · 18 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−40.6%
38,82094,367136,667
R
−38.9%
38,97291,150134,287
R
−44.5%
27,60479,114115,687
R
−38.1%
32,58074,646110,336
R
−28.9%
39,51472,716115,068
R
−39.4%
33,10977,566112,932
D
+10.4%
31,51925,42458,789
R
−18.9%
20,05131,31759,505
R
−14.7%
18,10027,06361,069
R
−23.7%
32,91053,65187,391
R
−45.5%
23,41763,12587,203
R
−43.4%
20,60856,70083,191
R
−16.4%
29,65641,46272,188
R
−33.3%
23,41046,99970,746
R
−24.1%
21,44236,56562,648
D
+0.1%
34,15334,09568,248
R
−23.4%
27,03943,54570,588
R
−29.7%
22,40041,28663,686
R
−43.7%
18,78748,02966,850
R
−11.2%
23,73629,80054,083
R
−18.4%
19,74528,66848,414
R
−13.5%
28,32437,14365,496
D
+7.8%
33,35228,37563,438
D
+17.7%
35,32224,46261,230
R
−32.1%
17,64434,51852,550
R
−34.7%
8,83623,59442,587
R
−34.6%
10,01022,60836,447
R
−0.1%
13,78013,80429,091
O
+35.2%
11,1642,04325,888
R
−18.2%
8,14112,18822,288
R
−40.6%
4,57711,93218,122
R
−9.8%
7,0788,63715,891
D
+10.6%
8,0986,54414,721
R
−38.2%
1,2775,95412,252
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.7%
Irish
12.4%
English
11.4%
American
4.4%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.7%
speak English only
Spanish1.8%
Other languages1.0%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.8%
Mainline Protestant
11.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.1%
Methodist
1.6%
Baptist
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Rapid City media market anchors western South Dakota and pulls in corners of Wyoming and Nebraska, blending rural agricultural precincts with an urban core that has shifted measurably as the metro's population climbed past 80,000.

The Democratic margin in Rapid City peaked at thirty-five points in 1912. By 2004 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,385 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rapid City, South Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/764/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Rapid City, South Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rapid City, South Dakota voted Republican by 40.6 points (R+41), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 136,667 votes cast, 38,820 went Democratic and 94,367 went Republican.
What is Rapid City, South Dakota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Rapid City, South Dakota as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 28 times, and other 1 times.
When did Rapid City, South Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rapid City, South Dakota voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Rapid City, South Dakota?
Rapid City, South Dakota has a population of 265,694 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rapid City, South Dakota?
Median household income in Rapid City, South Dakota is $73,385 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of Rapid City, South Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rapid City, South Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.