Reno, Nevada: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 777,0682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,0742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 177,997 | 226,629 | 414,469 | ||
| R | 175,783 | 210,053 | 397,218 | ||
| R | 132,803 | 169,911 | 329,898 | ||
| R | 136,291 | 156,796 | 300,116 | ||
| D | 146,413 | 140,830 | 292,061 | ||
| R | 111,272 | 149,232 | 265,273 | ||
| R | 80,166 | 118,133 | 209,618 | ||
| R | 72,664 | 89,915 | 189,115 | ||
| R | 62,317 | 73,676 | 192,659 | ||
| R | 53,313 | 93,007 | 151,740 | ||
| R | 38,047 | 90,698 | 131,853 | ||
| R | 28,343 | 75,480 | 117,012 | ||
| R | 40,286 | 51,034 | 95,751 | ||
| R | 29,030 | 59,674 | 89,188 | ||
| R | 25,812 | 39,467 | 74,668 | ||
| D | 35,468 | 30,736 | 66,209 | ||
| R | 27,705 | 32,088 | 59,839 | ||
| R | 19,505 | 33,257 | 52,782 | ||
| R | 18,573 | 33,543 | 52,163 | ||
| R | 18,226 | 20,949 | 40,250 | ||
| D | 18,691 | 17,680 | 36,387 | ||
| D | 21,896 | 16,720 | 38,674 | ||
| D | 22,346 | 9,260 | 31,662 | ||
| D | 18,879 | 9,132 | 28,139 | ||
| R | 10,052 | 13,793 | 23,867 | ||
| R | 4,119 | 8,545 | 19,676 | ||
| R | 6,475 | 11,721 | 19,454 | ||
| D | 11,725 | 9,192 | 23,187 | ||
| O | 5,778 | 1,919 | 14,300 | ||
| R | 7,974 | 8,064 | 17,825 | ||
| R | 2,923 | 5,611 | 9,552 | ||
| D | 4,618 | 3,725 | 8,416 | ||
| D | 6,308 | 2,426 | 8,761 | ||
| O | 1,321 | 3,252 | 9,450 | ||
| R | 777 | 888 | 1,704 | ||
| R | 832 | 1,038 | 1,934 | ||
| R | 1,163 | 1,302 | 2,571 | ||
| R | 417 | 519 | 936 |
Demographics
The Reno designated market area anchors northern Nevada and has trended more competitive as in-migration from California and other states has diversified its historically Republican-leaning electorate over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Reno peaked at forty-four points in 1896. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $85,074 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Reno, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/811/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.